Nonsubjective Priors via Predictive Relative Entropy Regret
نویسندگان
چکیده
We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and show that this approach to prior construction has a number of attractive features. The approach here differs from previous work that uses either prior or posterior relative entropy regret in that we consider predictive performance in relation to alternative nondegenerate prior distributions. The theory is illustrated with an analysis of some specific examples.
منابع مشابه
Nonsubjective Priors via Predictive Relative Entropy
We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and show that this approach to prior construction has a number of attractive features. The approach here differs from previous work that uses either prior or po...
متن کاملEconometrics and decision theory
The paper considers the role of econometrics in decision making under uncertainty. This leads to a focus on predictive distributions. The decision maker's subjective distribution is only partly speci"ed; it belongs to a set S of distributions. S can also be regarded as a set of plausible data-generating processes. Criteria are needed to evaluate procedures for constructing predictive distributi...
متن کاملGeneralised Entropy MDPs and Minimax Regret
Bayesian methods suffer from the problem of how to specify prior beliefs. One interesting idea is to consider worst-case priors. This requires solving a stochastic zero-sum game. In this paper, we extend well-known results from bandit theory in order to discover minimax-Bayes policies and discuss when they are practical.
متن کاملMinimax Estimation of Quantum States Based on the Latent Information Priors
We develop priors for Bayes estimation of quantum states that provide minimax state estimation. The relative entropy from the true density operator to a predictive density operator is adopted as a loss function. The proposed prior maximizes the conditional Holevo mutual information, and it is a quantum version of the latent information prior in classical statistics. For one qubit system, we pro...
متن کاملRisk and Regret of Hierarchical Bayesian Learners
Common statistical practice has shown that the full power of Bayesian methods is not realized until hierarchical priors are used, as these allow for greater “robustness” and the ability to “share statistical strength.” Yet it is an ongoing challenge to provide a learning-theoretically sound formalism of such notions that: offers practical guidance concerning when and how best to utilize hierarc...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2006